\u60f3\u8c61\u4e00\u4e0b\uff0c\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u7f51\u7ad9\u80fd\u8ba9\u4f60\u50cf\u7092\u80a1\u4e00\u6837\uff0c\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u5927\u4e8b\u5c0f\u60c5\u4e0b\u6ce8\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u4ece\u603b\u7edf\u5b9d\u5ea7\u82b1\u843d\u8c01\u5bb6\u5230\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u5229\u7387\u8d70\u5411\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u6cf0\u52d2\u00b7\u65af\u5a01\u592b\u7279\u548c\u7537\u53cb\u7684\u604b\u60c5\u53d1\u5c55\uff08\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u5206\u624b\u7684\u8d54\u7387\u662f 7 \u7f8e\u5206\uff0c\u6362\u53e5\u8bdd\u8bf4\uff0c\u5927\u5bb6\u89c9\u5f97\u8fd9\u4e8b\u513f\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u4e5f\u5c31 7%\uff0c\u4fe9\u4eba\u5206\u624b\u7684\u6982\u7387\u633a\u5c0f\u7684\uff09\u3002\u8fd9\u5c31\u662f Polymarket\uff0c\u4e00\u4e2a\u5145\u6ee1\u8da3\u5473\u4e0e\u6311\u6218\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u3002<\/p>\n
\u65e9\u5728 10 \u6708\u521d\uff0c\u5f53\u5927\u5bb6\u8fd8\u5728\u4e3a\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u00b7\u7279\u6717\u666e\u548c\u5361\u739b\u62c9\u00b7\u54c8\u91cc\u65af\u8c01\u80fd\u80dc\u51fa\u800c\u4e89\u8bba\u4e0d\u4f11\u65f6\uff0cPolymarket \u7ed9\u51fa\u7684\u8d54\u7387\u90fd\u63a5\u8fd1 50%\uff0c\u5269\u4e0b\u7684\u5fae\u5c0f\u673a\u4f1a\u5219\u7559\u7ed9\u4e86\u5305\u62ec\u4e54\u00b7\u62dc\u767b\u5728\u5185\u7684\u5176\u4ed6\u5019\u9009\u4eba\u53ca\u300c\u5176\u4ed6\u5171\u548c\u515a\u653f\u5ba2\u300d\u3002\u4f46\u65f6\u95f4\u6d41\u8f6c\u81f3\u672c\u5468\uff0c\u5f62\u52bf\u53d1\u751f\u4e86\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7684\u80dc\u7387\u88ab\u5e02\u573a\u770b\u597d\u81f3 64%\uff0c\u610f\u5473\u7740\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u73b0\u5728\u4e0b\u6ce8\u7279\u6717\u666e\uff0c\u5e76\u575a\u6301\u5230\u9009\u4e3e\u5c18\u57c3\u843d\u5b9a\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u6bcf\u6295\u5165 64 \u7f8e\u5206\uff0c\u5c31\u6709\u673a\u4f1a\u5728\u7279\u6717\u666e\u83b7\u80dc\u65f6\u6362\u56de 1 \u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u56de\u62a5\u3002<\/p>\n
\u6709\u8da3\u7684\u662f\uff0cPolymarket \u4e0a\u7684\u8fd9\u4e00\u9884\u6d4b\u4e0e\u5168\u56fd\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5\u7ed3\u679c\u5927\u76f8\u5f84\u5ead\uff0c\u4e5f\u9ad8\u4e8e\u540c\u7c7b\u5e73\u53f0 Kalshi \u548c Predictit \u7684\u8bc4\u4f30\uff0c\u540e\u4e24\u8005\u5bf9\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7684\u80dc\u7387\u5206\u522b\u4e3a 60% \u548c 58%\u3002\u622a\u81f3\u76ee\u524d\uff0cPolymarket \u4e0a\u7684\u603b\u6295\u6ce8\u989d\u5df2\u7a81\u7834 20 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u5927\u5173\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u58ee\u89c2\u666f\u8c61\u80cc\u540e\uff0c\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e0d\u53ef\u5ffd\u89c6\u7684\u63a8\u624b\u3002\u4ece 6 \u6708\u4efd\u5f00\u59cb\uff0c\u4e00\u4e2a\u540d\u4e3a Fredi9999 \u7684\u8d26\u6237\u5f00\u59cb\u5927\u624b\u7b14\u6295\u5165\uff0c\u529b\u633a\u7279\u6717\u666e\u3002\u968f\u540e\uff0c8 \u6708\u548c 9 \u6708\uff0c\u51e0\u4e2a\u7591\u4f3c\u4e0e Fredi9999 \u6709\u5173\u8054\u7684\u8d26\u6237\u4e5f\u52a0\u5165\u6218\u56e2\uff0c\u603b\u5171\u4e0b\u6ce8\u8d85\u8fc7 4300 \u4e07\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u4e0d\u4ec5\u4e3a\u7279\u6717\u666e\u52a0\u6cb9\uff0c\u4e5f\u52a9\u529b\u5171\u548c\u515a\u7684\u80dc\u7b97\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u64cd\u4f5c\u76f4\u63a5\u63a8\u52a8\u4e86\u7279\u6717\u666e\u80dc\u7387\u7684\u98d9\u5347\u3002<\/p>\n
\u53cd\u8fc7\u6765\uff0cPolymarket \u4e0a\u5173\u4e8e\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u52a8\u6001\uff0c\u7adf\u4e5f\u6447\u8eab\u4e00\u53d8\uff0c\u6210\u4e3a\u4e86\u5927\u9009\u70ed\u8bae\u8bdd\u9898\u7684\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u3002\u8bf8\u5982\u5f6d\u535a\u793e\u3001\u300a\u91d1\u878d\u65f6\u62a5\u300b\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u6743\u5a01\u5a92\u4f53\uff0c\u5728\u5256\u6790\u5927\u9009\u8d8b\u52bf\u65f6\uff0c\u90fd\u4e0d\u7ea6\u800c\u540c\u5730\u5c06 Polymarket \u7684\u6570\u636e\u4e0e\u4f20\u7edf\u7684\u6c11\u8c03\u7ed3\u679c\u5e76\u5217\u5f15\u7528\u300210 \u6708 6 \u65e5\uff0c\u57c3\u9686\u00b7\u9a6c\u65af\u514b\u5728 X \u5e73\u53f0\u4e0a\u53d1\u8868\u770b\u6cd5\uff0c\u76f4\u8a00 Polymarket\u300c\u6bd4\u6c11\u8c03\u66f4\u9760\u8c31\uff0c\u6bd5\u7adf\u8fd9\u91cc\u6d89\u53ca\u7684\u662f\u771f\u91d1\u767d\u94f6\u7684\u6295\u6ce8\u300d\u3002\u800c\u5230\u4e86 10 \u6708 18 \u65e5\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u672c\u4eba\u5728\u5bc6\u6b47\u6839\u5dde\u7684\u4e00\u573a\u96c6\u4f1a\u4e0a\uff0c\u4e5f\u7279\u610f\u63d0\u5230\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5e73\u53f0\uff0c\u4ed6\u8c08\u53ca\u81ea\u5df1\u5728\u8be5\u5dde\u7684\u652f\u6301\u7387\u65f6\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u300c\u5177\u4f53\u542b\u4e49\u6211\u4e0d\u662f\u5f88\u6e05\u695a\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u8db3\u4ee5\u8bf4\u660e\u6211\u4eec\u8868\u73b0\u76f8\u5f53\u51fa\u8272\u3002\u300d\u5bf9\u4e8e\u90a3\u4e9b\u4e13\u6ce8\u4e8e\u5927\u9009\u5206\u6790\u7684\u4eba\u58eb\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u4e00\u4e2a\u6838\u5fc3\u7591\u95ee\u6d6e\u51fa\u6c34\u9762\uff1a\u90a3\u4e9b\u76f8\u5bf9\u5c0f\u4f17\u4f46\u7cbe\u901a\u52a0\u5bc6\u8d27\u5e01\u7684\u6295\u6ce8\u8005\u4eec\u2014\u2014\u622a\u81f3 10 \u6708\uff0cPolymarket \u62e5\u6709\u5927\u7ea6\u5341\u4e94\u4e07\u4e2a\u6d3b\u8dc3\u8d26\u6237\u2014\u2014\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u6295\u6ce8\u70ed\u60c5\uff0c\u662f\u5426\u771f\u7684\u80fd\u5728\u67d0\u79cd\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u6620\u5c04\u51fa\u73b0\u5b9e\u72b6\u51b5\uff1f\u8fd8\u662f\u8bf4\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6295\u6ce8\u884c\u4e3a\u53ef\u80fd\u6784\u6210\u4e86\u4e00\u79cd\u5e55\u540e\u63a8\u624b\uff0c\u4e3a\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7684\u58f0\u52bf\u6dfb\u7816\u52a0\u74e6\uff1f\u5728\u9c9c\u5c11\u9732\u9762\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u4e8c\u5341\u516d\u5c81\u4fbf\u521b\u7acb Polymarket \u7684\u8c22\u6069\u00b7\u79d1\u666e\u5170\uff08Shayne Coplan\uff09\uff0c\u8fd1\u671f\u5374\u7834\u4f8b\u4e0e\u6211\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u4e00\u6b21\u6df1\u5ea6\u4ea4\u6d41\uff0c\u805a\u7126\u70b9\u6b63\u662f\u7279\u6717\u666e\u652f\u6301\u7387\u8d4c\u6ce8\u7684\u60ca\u4eba\u6500\u5347\u3002\u4ed6\u660e\u786e\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u50cf Fredi9999 \u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u300c\u5de8\u9cb8\u300d\u7ea7\u5927\u73a9\u5bb6\u7684\u6d3b\u8dc3\uff0c\u6b63\u662f\u5e02\u573a\u529b\u91cf\u5728\u9ed8\u9ed8\u53d1\u6325\u4f5c\u7528\u7684\u660e\u8bc1\u3002\u300c\u867d\u7136\u5e02\u573a\u5141\u8bb8\u4eba\u4eec\u81ea\u7531\u8d2d\u4e70\u4ed6\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a\u88ab\u4f4e\u4f30\u7684\u8d44\u4ea7\uff0c\u4f46\u76ee\u524d\u4ed6\u4eec\u5e76\u672a\u91c7\u53d6\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u884c\u52a8\uff0c\u300d\u5f53\u8bdd\u9898\u8f6c\u5411\u54c8\u91cc\u65af\u65f6\uff0c\u4ed6\u8fd9\u6837\u89e3\u91ca\u9053\uff0c\u5e76\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8865\u5145\u8bf4\uff0c\u300c\u8fd9\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\uff0c\u8fd8\u6ca1\u6709\u4eba\u786e\u4fe1\u5176\u4ef7\u503c\u88ab\u4e25\u91cd\u4f4e\u4f30\uff0c\u503c\u5f97\u51fa\u624b\u3002\u300d<\/p>\n
\u79d1\u666e\u5170\uff0c\u8fd9\u4f4d\u5728\u533a\u5757\u94fe\u6280\u672f\u754c\u88ab\u8a89\u4e3a\u795e\u7ae5\u7684\u5e74\u8f7b\u4eba\uff0c\u6210\u957f\u4e8e\u7ebd\u7ea6\u5e02\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u6559\u5e08\u5bb6\u5ead\uff0c\u65e9\u5728\u9752\u5c11\u5e74\u65f6\u671f\u5c31\u6210\u4e3a\u4e86\u4ee5\u592a\u574a\u7684\u5148\u884c\u8005\u3002\u4ed6\u5e7f\u6cdb\u9605\u8bfb\u5e02\u573a\u7406\u8bba\u7684\u5b66\u672f\u7ecf\u5178\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\uff0c\u7f57\u5bbe\u00b7\u6c49\u68ee 2013 \u5e74\u7684\u6587\u7ae0\u300a\u6211\u4eec\u5e94\u8be5\u6295\u7968\u51b3\u5b9a\u4ef7\u503c\u89c2\uff0c\u4f46\u4ee5\u4fe1\u4ef0\u4f5c\u4e3a\u8d4c\u6ce8\u5417\uff1f\u300b\uff08Shall We Vote on Values, But Bet on Beliefs\uff09\u5bf9\u4ed6\u4ea7\u751f\u4e86\u6df1\u8fdc\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u6c49\u68ee\u5728\u6587\u7ae0\u4e2d\u9610\u8ff0\uff0c\u81ea\u7531\u5e02\u573a\u662f\u300c\u6fc0\u53d1\u4eba\u4eec\u83b7\u53d6\u4fe1\u606f\u300d\u4ee5\u53ca\u300c\u5c06\u4fe1\u606f\u6574\u5408\u4e3a\u80fd\u8bf4\u670d\u5927\u4f17\u7684\u5171\u8bc6\u4ef7\u683c\u300d\u7684\u5f3a\u5927\u9a71\u52a8\u529b\u2014\u2014\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u4f53\u7cfb\u7406\u5e94\u50cf\u5f71\u54cd\u80a1\u5e02\u4e2d\u4e0a\u5e02\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u4f30\u503c\u90a3\u6837\uff0c\u53bb\u5f71\u54cd\u653f\u5e9c\u51b3\u7b56\u4e0e\u653f\u6cbb\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u8d70\u5411\u3002\u6c49\u68ee\u8fd8\u521b\u9020\u4e86\u300cFutarchy\u300d\u8fd9\u4e00\u65b0\u8bcd\uff0c\u7528\u6765\u63cf\u7ed8\u4e00\u79cd\u7531\u9884\u6d4b\u673a\u5236\u9a71\u52a8\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u6a21\u5f0f\u3002<\/p>\n
\u5728\u5f7c\u5f97\u00b7\u6cf0\u5c14\u7684\u521b\u59cb\u4eba\u57fa\u91d1\u4ee5\u53ca\u4ee5\u592a\u574a\u521b\u59cb\u4eba\u7ef4\u5854\u5229\u514b\u00b7\u5e03\u7279\u6797\u7b49\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u6295\u8d44\u652f\u6301\u4e0b\uff0c\u79d1\u666e\u5170\u6b63\u5c1d\u8bd5\u5c06\u6c49\u68ee\u7684\u7406\u5ff5\u8f6c\u5316\u4e3a\u73b0\u5b9e\u3002\u4ed6\u521b\u5efa\u7684 Polymarket\uff0c\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u601d\u60f3\u4ea4\u6613\u7684\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u66f4\u51c6\u786e\u5730\u8bf4\uff0c\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u667a\u80fd\u5316\u7684\u4f53\u80b2\u535a\u5f69\u5347\u7ea7\u7248\u3002\u300c\u6211\u4eec\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u300d\u4ed6\u5411\u6211\u900f\u9732\uff0c\u300c\u662f\u6253\u9020\u4e00\u4e2a\u7167\u4eae\u771f\u7406\u7684\u706f\u5854\u3002\u300d<\/p>\n
\u5728 SoHo \u533a\u90a3\u95f4\u73bb\u7483\u5e55\u5899\u73af\u7ed5\u7684\u529e\u516c\u5ba4\u91cc\uff0c\u6211\u4e0e\u79d1\u666e\u5170\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u4e00\u573a\u89c6\u9891\u901a\u8bdd\u3002\u4ed6\u5c31\u5728\u90a3\u91cc\uff0c\u9886\u5bfc\u7740\u4e00\u4e2a\u7ea6 30 \u4eba\u7684\u7cbe\u82f1\u56e2\u961f\u3002\u4e00\u5934\u6df1\u91d1\u8272\u7684\u5377\u53d1\u4e0b\uff0c\u662f\u4ed6\u90a3\u7565\u5e26\u6025\u8feb\u7684\u8bed\u8c03\uff0c\u4eff\u4f5b\u6bcf\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u90fd\u65e9\u5df2\u5728\u4ed6\u5fc3\u4e2d\u76d8\u6853\u591a\u65f6\uff0c\u53ea\u5f85\u4e00\u5410\u4e3a\u5feb\u3002<\/p>\n
Polymarket \u7684\u5e02\u573a\u9009\u62e9\uff0c\u90fd\u662f\u57fa\u4e8e\u7528\u6237\u7684\u70ed\u70c8\u5efa\u8bae\uff0c\u4f46\u4e3a\u4e86\u79c9\u627f\u52a0\u5bc6\u8d27\u5e01\u53bb\u4e2d\u5fc3\u5316\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u7406\u5ff5\uff0c\u5e73\u53f0\u901a\u8fc7\u533a\u5757\u94fe\u6280\u672f\uff0c\u5b9e\u73b0\u4e86\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u300c\u65e0\u4e3a\u800c\u6cbb\u300d\u3002\u6bcf\u4e00\u4e2a\u53ef\u4f9b\u4e0b\u6ce8\u7684\u8bdd\u9898\uff0c\u90fd\u88ab\u7cbe\u5fc3\u8bbe\u8ba1\u6210\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u6bd4\u5982\uff0c\u300c\u4e0b\u4e00\u4f4d\u8a79\u59c6\u65af\u00b7\u90a6\u5fb7\u7684\u626e\u6f14\u8005\u4f1a\u662f\u8c01\uff1f\u300d\uff08\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u4ea8\u5229\u00b7\u5361\u7ef4\u5c14\u7684\u80dc\u51fa\u51e0\u7387\u4e3a 8%\uff09\uff0c\u53c8\u6216\u8005\u300c\u9a6c\u514b\u9f99\u4f1a\u5728 2024 \u5e74\u5378\u4efb\u6cd5\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u5417\uff1f\u300d\uff08\u4ec5\u6709 1% \u7684\u4eba\u8ba4\u4e3a\u300c\u662f\u300d\uff09\u3002\u79d1\u666e\u5170\u5f3a\u8c03\uff0c\u6bcf\u4e00\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u300c\u90fd\u5fc5\u987b\u5177\u5907\u4e00\u4e2a\u6e05\u6670\u7684\u89e3\u51b3\u6807\u51c6\u300d\uff0c\u6362\u53e5\u8bdd\u8bf4\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u8981\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u660e\u786e\u65e0\u8bef\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u6765\u5224\u5b9a\u7b54\u6848\u3002<\/p>\n
\u4ee5\u603b\u7edf\u9009\u4e3e\u4e3a\u4f8b\uff0cPolymarket \u8bbe\u5b9a\u4e86\u4e25\u683c\u7684\u6807\u51c6\uff1a\u5fc5\u987b\u7b49\u5230\u7f8e\u8054\u793e\u3001\u798f\u514b\u65af\u65b0\u95fb\u548c NBC \u8fd9\u4e09\u5927\u5a92\u4f53\u4e00\u81f4\u5ba3\u5e03\u540c\u4e00\u4f4d\u5019\u9009\u4eba\u83b7\u80dc\uff0c\u624d\u80fd\u5c18\u57c3\u843d\u5b9a\u3002\u800c\u4e00\u65e6\u95ee\u9898\u5f00\u542f\uff0c\u6295\u6ce8\u8005\u4eec\u4fbf\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2a\u70b9\u5bf9\u70b9\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u4e2d\uff0c\u4e3a\u4ed6\u4eec\u5fc3\u76ee\u4e2d\u7684\u7b54\u6848\u4e0b\u6ce8\u3002\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\uff0c\u6bcf\u4e00\u6b21\u4e0b\u6ce8\uff0c\u90fd\u9700\u8981\u6709\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u7528\u6237\u7ad9\u5728\u5bf9\u7acb\u9762\uff0c\u5f62\u6210\u4e00\u573a\u667a\u6167\u7684\u8f83\u91cf\u3002\u6b63\u5982\u79d1\u666e\u5170\u6240\u8a00\uff0c\u90a3\u4e9b\u767e\u5206\u6bd4\u6570\u5b57\uff0c\u4ee3\u8868\u7684\u6b63\u662f\u300c\u57fa\u4e8e\u6240\u6709\u60f3\u8981\u4ea4\u6613\u7684\u4eba\u4eec\uff0c\u5728\u5f53\u524d\u5e02\u573a\u4e0a\u7684\u7efc\u5408\u5224\u65ad\u300d\u3002<\/p>\n
Polymarket \u91c7\u7528\u7684\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u540d\u4e3a USDC \u7684\u52a0\u5bc6\u8d27\u5e01\u3002\u4e0e\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u90a3\u79cd\u5145\u6ee1\u6295\u673a\u6027\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u4e0d\u540c\uff0cUSDC \u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u300c\u7a33\u5b9a\u5e01\u300d\uff0c\u5176\u4ef7\u503c\u7d27\u7d27\u951a\u5b9a\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u4e0e\u5176\u4ed6\u52a0\u5bc6\u8d27\u5e01\u76f8\u4f3c\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5b83\u5728\u533a\u5757\u94fe\u4e0a\u7684\u6bcf\u4e00\u6b21\u6d41\u8f6c\u90fd\u610f\u5473\u7740 USDC \u4e0a\u7684\u6240\u6709\u4ea4\u6613\u90fd\u662f\u900f\u660e\u53ef\u89c1\u7684\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5728 Polymarket \u4e0a\u7684\u6bcf\u4e00\u7b14\u6295\u6ce8\uff0c\u90fd\u4f1a\u88ab\u8be6\u5c3d\u8bb0\u5f55\u5e76\u53ef\u4ee5\u516c\u5f00\u8ffd\u6eaf\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e5f\u662f\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u6211\u4eec\u80fd\u591f\u6d1e\u5bdf\u5230 Freddi9999 \u90a3\u8d85\u4e4e\u5bfb\u5e38\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u884c\u4e3a\u3002<\/p>\n
\u5f53\u67d0\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u7b54\u6848\u4f3c\u4e4e\u5df2\u7ecf\u5c18\u57c3\u843d\u5b9a\u65f6\uff0cPolymarket \u4f1a\u796d\u51fa\u53e6\u4e00\u4ef6\u5e02\u573a\u9a71\u52a8\u7684\u52a0\u5bc6\u8d27\u5e01\u5229\u5668\u2014\u2014Uma\u3002Uma \u6784\u5efa\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u63d0\u51fa\u548c\u8d28\u7591\u7ed3\u679c\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c\u4e3a\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u516c\u6b63\u6027\u518d\u6dfb\u4e00\u5c42\u4fdd\u969c\u3002\uff08\u636e Polymarket \u900f\u9732\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1 2020 \u5e74\u5927\u9009\u5728\u73b0\u5b9e\u4e2d\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u65e0\u6570\u7eb7\u4e89\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u5e73\u53f0\u4e0a\u89e3\u51b3\u76f8\u5173\u8d4c\u6ce8\u5374\u5e76\u672a\u9047\u5230\u592a\u591a\u6ce2\u6298\u3002\uff09\u6700\u7ec8\uff0c\u533a\u5757\u94fe\u667a\u80fd\u5408\u7ea6\u2014\u2014\u8fd9\u4e00\u52a0\u5bc6\u8d27\u5e01\u4e16\u754c\u4e2d\u81ea\u52a8\u6267\u884c\u3001\u4e0d\u53ef\u9006\u8f6c\u7684\u4ea4\u6362\u673a\u5236\u2014\u2014\u4f1a\u9ad8\u6548\u5730\u5904\u7406\u6240\u6709\u4ea4\u6613\uff0c\u5e76\u5c06\u80dc\u5229\u7684\u679c\u5b9e\u7cbe\u51c6\u5730\u5206\u914d\u7ed9\u8d62\u5bb6\u3002<\/p>\n
Polymarket \u521d\u521b\u65f6\u7684\u53e3\u53f7\u662f\u300c\u501f\u52a9\u81ea\u7531\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u5f3a\u5927\u529b\u91cf\uff0c\u63ed\u5f00\u73b0\u5b9e\u4e16\u754c\u4e2d\u5bf9\u4f60\u81f3\u5173\u91cd\u8981\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7684\u795e\u79d8\u9762\u7eb1\u300d\u3002\u79d1\u666e\u5170\u8bbe\u60f3\uff0c\u4ed6\u7684\u5e73\u53f0\u80fd\u591f\u9884\u6d4b\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u82d7\u7684\u4e0a\u5e02\u65f6\u95f4\uff0c\u5e76\u4e3a\u7eb7\u6270\u7684\u793e\u4ea4\u5a92\u4f53\u73af\u5883\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e00\u4e2a\u66f4\u4e3a\u7406\u6027\u7684\u66ff\u4ee3\u65b9\u6848\u3002\u300c\u65b0\u95fb\u548c\u9519\u8bef\u4fe1\u606f\u6574\u5929\u6ee1\u5929\u98de\uff0c\u4f60\u5f97\u8d39\u5fc3\u53bb\u8fa8\u522b\uff1a\u8fd9\u4e8b\u513f\u91cd\u8981\u5417\uff1f\u662f\u5b9e\u6253\u5b9e\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\uff0c\u8fd8\u662f\u80e1\u8bf4\u516b\u9053\uff1f\u4f60\u603b\u4f1a\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u6709\u4e9b\u4e1c\u897f\u867d\u7136\u7092\u5f97\u706b\u70ed\uff0c\u4f46\u5e02\u573a\u5374\u7eb9\u4e1d\u4e0d\u52a8\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c31\u662f\u5728\u544a\u8bc9\u4f60\uff0c\u2018\u563f\uff0c\u8fd9\u6839\u672c\u6ca1\u5565\u4ef7\u503c\u3002\u2019\u300d\u79d1\u666e\u5170\u7684\u903b\u8f91\u5f88\u7b80\u5355\uff1a\u5e02\u573a\u4f1a\u8feb\u4f7f\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u6df1\u5165\u5176\u4e2d\uff0c\u800c\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u8868\u73b0\uff0c\u5f80\u5f80\u6bd4\u90a3\u4e9b\u6240\u8c13\u7684\u4e13\u5bb6\u610f\u89c1\u66f4\u5177\u667a\u6167\u3002<\/p>\n
\u7136\u800c\uff0cPolymarket \u4e0a\u90a3\u4e9b\u81ea\u6211\u9009\u62e9\u7684\u6295\u6ce8\u8005\uff0c\u5176\u9884\u6d4b\u80fd\u529b\u663e\u7136\u5e76\u975e\u65e0\u6240\u4e0d\u80fd\u3002\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u81ea 2022 \u5e74\u7f8e\u56fd\u5546\u54c1\u671f\u8d27\u4ea4\u6613\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u8ba4\u5b9a\u8be5\u5e73\u53f0\u76f8\u5f53\u4e8e\u672a\u7ecf\u8bb8\u53ef\u7684\u884d\u751f\u54c1\u5e02\u573a\u540e\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u4f7f\u7528 Polymarket \u4fbf\u6210\u4e86\u975e\u6cd5\u884c\u4e3a\u3002\u4e3a\u6b64\uff0cPolymarket \u9009\u62e9\u4e0e\u653f\u5e9c\u8fbe\u6210\u548c\u89e3\uff0c\u652f\u4ed8\u4e86 140 \u4e07\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u7f5a\u6b3e\uff0c\u5e76\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7528\u6237\u5b9e\u65bd\u4e86\u7981\u4ee4\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u4ecd\u6709\u8bb8\u591a\u4eba\u901a\u8fc7 VPN \u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u5de5\u5177\u6765\u89c4\u907f\u8fd9\u4e00\u7981\u4ee4\u3002\uff08Kalshi \u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u9009\u4e3e\u6295\u6ce8\u5e73\u53f0\u4e5f\u9762\u4e34\u7740\u7c7b\u4f3c\u7684\u751f\u5b58\u6311\u6218\u3002\uff09\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u73b0\u5728\u5df2\u7ecf\u6709\u4f7f\u7528\u4f20\u7edf\u94f6\u884c\u8d26\u6237\u4e0b\u6ce8\u7684\u4fbf\u6377\u9014\u5f84\uff0c\u8be5\u5e73\u53f0\u4ecd\u8981\u6c42\u7528\u6237\u5fc5\u987b\u719f\u7ec3\u4f7f\u7528\u52a0\u5bc6\u8d27\u5e01\u94b1\u5305\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0cPolymarket \u7684\u7528\u6237\u7fa4\u4f53\u5448\u73b0\u51fa\u4e00\u5b9a\u7684\u504f\u5411\u6027\uff1a\u4ed6\u4eec\u5927\u591a\u662f\u975e\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u3001\u7537\u6027\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u662f\u91cd\u5ea6\u7f51\u7edc\u7528\u6237\u3002<\/p>\n
\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u4e0d\u96be\u60f3\u8c61\uff0c\u8bb8\u591a\u5728 Polymarket \u4e0a\u62bc\u6ce8\u5927\u9009\u7684\u7528\u6237\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u6cbb\u53ef\u80fd\u5e76\u4e0d\u592a\u4e86\u89e3\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u89c2\u70b9\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u53d7\u5230\u4e86\u52a0\u5bc6\u8d27\u5e01\u9886\u57df\u5bf9\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7684\u504f\u597d\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u6bd5\u7adf\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u66fe\u76f4\u63a5\u5411\u8be5\u884c\u4e1a\u793a\u597d\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u63a8\u51fa\u4e86\u81ea\u5df1\u7684 NFT\uff0c\u76f8\u6bd4\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u54c8\u91cc\u65af\u5c31\u663e\u5f97\u6ca1\u90a3\u4e48\u76f4\u63a5\u4e86\u3002\u652f\u6301\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7684\u300c\u5de8\u9cb8\u300d\u4eec\u4f3c\u4e4e\u5c31\u7b26\u5408\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u6a21\u5f0f\u3002\u6b63\u5982\u4e00\u4f4d\u53c2\u4e0e\u5927\u9009\u6295\u6ce8\u7684\u7528\u6237\u5bf9\u6211\u6240\u8bf4\u7684\uff1a\u300c\u5f88\u96be\u4e0d\u6ce8\u610f\u5230\u4ed6\u662f\u8c01\uff0c\u5f88\u591a\u2018\u5de8\u9cb8\u2019\u4e4b\u95f4\u90fd\u4e92\u76f8\u8ba4\u8bc6\uff0c\u4e5f\u4f1a\u4e92\u76f8\u4ea4\u6d41\u3002\u300d Polymarket \u7684\u8d85\u7ea7\u7528\u6237\u4eec\u6ce8\u610f\u5230\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4ea4\u6613\uff0c\u5e76\u6210\u529f\u8ffd\u6eaf\u5230\u4e86\u540c\u4e00\u6765\u6e90\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\uff0c\u4e00\u4f4d\u540d\u53eb Domer \u7684\u7528\u6237\u662f\u8be5\u7f51\u7ad9\u6700\u6d3b\u8dc3\u7684\u6295\u6ce8\u8005\u4e4b\u4e00\uff08\u4ed6\u4e0b\u6ce8\u652f\u6301\u54c8\u91cc\u65af\uff09\uff0c\u4ed6\u66fe\u5728 Discord \u4e0a\u4e0e Fredi9999 \u6709\u8fc7\u7b80\u77ed\u7684\u804a\u5929\uff0c\u5e76\u5229\u7528 ChatGPT \u5206\u6790\u540e\u63a8\u6d4b\uff0c\u8be5\u7528\u6237\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u6cd5\u56fd\u4eba\u3002\u8def\u900f\u793e\u540e\u6765\u7684\u62a5\u9053\u4e5f\u8bc1\u5b9e\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8d26\u6237\u786e\u5b9e\u662f\u7531\u975e\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u6301\u6709\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n
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